FORECAST DESK

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OPEN QUESTIONS

Where do you stand?

7 contracts open
Equities◇ Rules locked

Will the September 2026 FTSE 100 review add at least two companies?

Resolution source: FTSE Russell / LSEG — FTSE UK Index Series review notice

Equities◇ Rules locked

Will the S&P 500 close above 6,500 on the final trading day of 2026?

Resolution source: S&P Dow Jones Indices

Equities◇ Rules locked

Will the FTSE 100 close above 9,000 on the final trading day of 2026?

Resolution source: London Stock Exchange

Rates◇ Rules locked

Will the Bank of England cut Bank Rate at least twice by year-end?

Resolution source: Bank of England

UK Macro◇ Rules locked

Will UK headline inflation fall below 2.0% before December 2026?

Resolution source: Office for National Statistics

Rates◇ Rules locked

Will the UK 10-year gilt par yield be at least 4.50% at the end of 2026?

Resolution source: Bank of England Database — IUDMNPY 10-year nominal par yield

Credit◇ Rules locked

Will UK house-purchase mortgage approvals reach 65,000 in December 2026?

Resolution source: Bank of England — Money and Credit statistics